WEBVTT 1 00:00:15.320 --> 00:00:17.630 We did an analysis 2 00:00:17.630 --> 00:00:20.880 Just look at the population distribution in the suburbs of Shanghai. 3 00:00:20.880 --> 00:00:22.210 In particular, the distribution of foreign populations 4 00:00:23.220 --> 00:00:28.140 There is a data in Zhang PPT. 5 00:00:28.570 --> 00:00:34.920 As we said just now in Shanghai, there are about 9 million foreign people. 6 00:00:35.870 --> 00:00:38.620 We did a census of the foreign population 7 00:00:38.790 --> 00:00:45.510 About 43.7% of the population live in rural settlements. 8 00:00:46.500 --> 00:00:47.540 He doesn't live in new town. 9 00:00:47.760 --> 00:00:49.660 I think we can understand, right? 10 00:00:49.660 --> 00:00:53.980 Because they are the migrant workers to Shanghai to find employment. 11 00:00:53.980 --> 00:01:00.800 But these jobs, their jobs are in those industrial areas. 12 00:01:00.800 --> 00:01:02.760 The industrial zones themselves are no longer formed. 13 00:01:03.210 --> 00:01:05.250 And the real estate development inside the new town. 14 00:01:05.250 --> 00:01:10.880 It's impossible for these migrant workers to buy it, isn't it? 15 00:01:10.880 --> 00:01:16.610 So he can only choose a minimum cost of this kind of living one way. 16 00:01:16.730 --> 00:01:20.240 So they live in rural settlements. 17 00:01:20.390 --> 00:01:27.090 So Shanghai is especially in the traditional kind of villages around the central city. 18 00:01:27.860 --> 00:01:32.090 In fact, the foreign population far exceeds the local population. 19 00:01:32.090 --> 00:01:34.050 A large number of foreign people live. 20 00:01:35.050 --> 00:01:38.000 So we say Shanghai, although in the sense of statistics. 21 00:01:38.100 --> 00:01:43.240 You according to the figures published in Shanghai, or the state announced the high rate of urbanization in Shanghai. 22 00:01:43.710 --> 00:01:45.260 It may have reached 80%. 23 00:01:45.260 --> 00:01:46.620 It's close to 90 24 00:01:47.210 --> 00:01:51.430 In fact, the structure behind it will be adjusted. 25 00:01:52.210 --> 00:01:55.330 One is that these migrant workers, he did not localization. 26 00:01:55.330 --> 00:01:56.970 As far as we're concerned, we're talking about the privatization of the city. 27 00:01:57.200 --> 00:01:57.540 Right 28 00:01:57.540 --> 00:01:58.020 Video frequency 29 00:01:58.020 --> 00:02:01.200 And may also face a 30 00:02:01.200 --> 00:02:03.150 Because the industrial structure of Shanghai has to be adjusted. 31 00:02:03.460 --> 00:02:11.220 Perhaps some low value-added manufacturing output is very low, the manufacturing industry may slowly withdraw. 32 00:02:11.950 --> 00:02:15.310 Then the demand for this part of the job may fall. 33 00:02:15.310 --> 00:02:20.970 Will it affect the employment of these migrant workers in Shanghai? 34 00:02:21.850 --> 00:02:23.350 If you lose a job 35 00:02:23.470 --> 00:02:24.810 It might just run out 36 00:02:25.580 --> 00:02:26.980 It will backflow 37 00:02:27.330 --> 00:02:32.770 So Shanghai is facing a process of urbanization. 38 00:02:35.660 --> 00:02:36.920 Throughout the growth 39 00:02:37.400 --> 00:02:43.610 This picture also shows that the red color is the most densely populated area of the new population. 40 00:02:44.180 --> 00:02:49.040 But our picture is assessing, and we are now emphasizing public service, right? 41 00:02:49.040 --> 00:02:51.510 A city includes both urban and rural areas. 42 00:02:51.730 --> 00:03:00.330 Our basic public services, education, health care, these facilities should be balanced and equal. 43 00:03:00.330 --> 00:03:01.640 Equalization of services 44 00:03:01.800 --> 00:03:03.800 This is a result of our assessment. 45 00:03:03.800 --> 00:03:09.680 This is the red color of the region is in fact the lowest allocation of public services. 46 00:03:10.490 --> 00:03:14.250 On the one hand, this region is a large population gathering. 47 00:03:14.250 --> 00:03:18.940 On the other hand, many of our public services have not kept up. 48 00:03:19.680 --> 00:03:20.460 Not following up 49 00:03:22.330 --> 00:03:31.340 Then this is some analysis done by other teachers using big data's cell phone data. 50 00:03:32.260 --> 00:03:34.750 The two pictures are different, aren't they? 51 00:03:34.970 --> 00:03:38.140 He mainly studied their knowledge. 52 00:03:38.350 --> 00:03:41.800 Two time periods are chosen for the trip. 53 00:03:41.800 --> 00:03:42.840 First time period 54 00:03:43.170 --> 00:03:45.400 This picture is on Saturday. 55 00:03:45.950 --> 00:03:47.770 Where will everyone go on Saturday? 56 00:03:47.770 --> 00:03:52.810 Saturday is actually what we call ofa everyday 57 00:03:53.040 --> 00:03:55.240 For example, we said we would go to the racetrack on Saturday. 58 00:03:55.650 --> 00:03:58.480 And then maybe go to Zhujiajiao 59 00:03:58.690 --> 00:04:00.220 It's such a trip. 60 00:04:00.440 --> 00:04:05.260 There's not a lot of attendance here in this area 61 00:04:05.260 --> 00:04:11.980 This shows that the region is a lack of a lot of support to the region is very popular. 62 00:04:11.980 --> 00:04:13.250 Functional 63 00:04:14.140 --> 00:04:15.900 And what is this picture? 64 00:04:16.190 --> 00:04:19.000 This picture was chosen on Tuesday. 65 00:04:19.560 --> 00:04:20.050 Tuesday 66 00:04:20.050 --> 00:04:23.030 So this is the time for work. 67 00:04:24.420 --> 00:04:27.530 Working days in this place is the largest number of trips. 68 00:04:27.530 --> 00:04:28.760 It is here that there are no jobs. 69 00:04:30.130 --> 00:04:31.640 Lack of living services 70 00:04:31.640 --> 00:04:32.940 Also short of jobs 71 00:04:33.090 --> 00:04:36.070 So the marginal areas are very prominent 72 00:04:36.070 --> 00:04:38.850 This picture is that we can see the rail transit, right? 73 00:04:38.850 --> 00:04:40.750 Look at it on the top of this picture 74 00:04:40.750 --> 00:04:45.900 Let's calculate the level of its coverage in rail transit. 75 00:04:46.470 --> 00:04:48.650 The whole assessment was made in Shanghai. 76 00:04:48.650 --> 00:04:50.290 In fact, it is in this circle. 77 00:04:50.490 --> 00:04:54.930 The coverage level of the rail transit network is far lower than that of the central city. 78 00:04:56.020 --> 00:04:58.300 So you can look at the map and see. 79 00:04:58.300 --> 00:05:02.990 Shanghai's rail network is basically a line 4, also out of line 4. 80 00:05:02.990 --> 00:05:04.960 It's radiation 81 00:05:04.960 --> 00:05:09.310 Then a large number of people are gathered outside the line 4 to implement. 82 00:05:09.790 --> 00:05:11.400 So only radiation 83 00:05:11.400 --> 00:05:14.490 Then its coverage level is a positive probability. 84 00:05:16.860 --> 00:05:18.980 So I talked about it earlier 85 00:05:19.190 --> 00:05:21.560 It's called 19661966. 86 00:05:22.020 --> 00:05:23.080 So let's look at it now 87 00:05:23.540 --> 00:05:27.290 Because in the past, when the proposed space pattern is like this. 88 00:05:28.450 --> 00:05:30.600 Have experienced such a development for more than ten years. 89 00:05:30.600 --> 00:05:32.910 The whole pattern is changing a lot. 90 00:05:33.800 --> 00:05:34.910 There are several aspects 91 00:05:34.910 --> 00:05:38.130 One aspect, like the one we talked about in the past, 1966. 92 00:05:38.280 --> 00:05:41.850 It still has certain administrative orientation. 93 00:05:41.850 --> 00:05:43.940 For example, a district county has a new city. 94 00:05:43.940 --> 00:05:47.080 Then each of the new towns mentioned at that time was 300, 000 people. 95 00:05:47.240 --> 00:05:49.800 It turned out that the 300,000 people were too mean. 96 00:05:49.940 --> 00:05:50.840 Yes, it should be a little bigger. 97 00:05:50.840 --> 00:05:55.030 So Jiading becomes a target, a million is bigger. 98 00:05:56.120 --> 00:05:57.320 Let's look at this picture again. 99 00:05:57.520 --> 00:06:02.330 In fact, if you go around Shanghai to get to know about it. 100 00:06:02.330 --> 00:06:05.990 I know that in fact, these new towns because of its location is not the same. 101 00:06:06.570 --> 00:06:07.330 Different location 102 00:06:07.330 --> 00:06:09.530 In fact, this has a greater impact on them. 103 00:06:09.530 --> 00:06:13.170 For example, Baoshan is almost connected to the central city. 104 00:06:13.170 --> 00:06:14.370 Including min hang 105 00:06:15.070 --> 00:06:17.730 In a sense, it is not a new success. 106 00:06:17.900 --> 00:06:22.260 Because we say that the hammer from the earliest concept of speaking. 107 00:06:22.260 --> 00:06:24.780 It emphasizes relative independence. 108 00:06:25.290 --> 00:06:29.020 If you follow the new city mentioned in the past 109 00:06:29.020 --> 00:06:35.370 You said golden hill, golden hill, Fengxian, including Chongming 110 00:06:35.550 --> 00:06:38.080 The concept of new town can still be established. 111 00:06:38.080 --> 00:06:38.650 Right 112 00:06:38.650 --> 00:06:41.240 But to these areas around central city 113 00:06:41.490 --> 00:06:45.940 In fact, the new city is not the concept of the past. 114 00:06:46.590 --> 00:06:50.980 So in the past, there must have been a differentiation in 1966. 115 00:06:50.980 --> 00:06:56.100 A strategy that requires differentiation to guide their development. 116 00:06:57.710 --> 00:07:01.370 Then, then, our rail transit just said that the construction is very fast. 117 00:07:01.540 --> 00:07:04.240 But make a comparison with Tokyo 118 00:07:04.470 --> 00:07:10.080 We will see that our coverage level is far below that of Tokyo. 119 00:07:10.450 --> 00:07:11.510 Lower than Tokyo 120 00:07:11.510 --> 00:07:18.660 So now our main rail network is mainly in the center of the city. 121 00:07:19.540 --> 00:07:20.280 Central city 122 00:07:20.280 --> 00:07:22.000 And now there's a huge population concentration 123 00:07:22.000 --> 00:07:26.010 In fact, it has already begun to go beyond the center of the city. 124 00:07:26.010 --> 00:07:26.510 Right 125 00:07:26.510 --> 00:07:30.320 But our entire support for the development of the whole of Shanghai. 126 00:07:30.320 --> 00:07:31.480 In fact, in addition to the center city. 127 00:07:31.480 --> 00:07:33.210 In fact, mainly by the highway. 128 00:07:34.320 --> 00:07:40.930 Therefore, this pattern of the next development of Shanghai is certainly a great challenge. 129 00:07:40.930 --> 00:07:44.150 Is the construction of the rail network. 130 00:07:44.150 --> 00:07:47.060 How to support the future of Shanghai? 131 00:07:47.270 --> 00:07:52.740 There may be a long way to go for the development of metropolitan areas. 132 00:07:52.940 --> 00:07:53.710 The way to go 133 00:07:55.620 --> 00:07:58.270 One more is what I just said. 134 00:07:58.440 --> 00:08:03.170 We say there are some 135 00:08:03.170 --> 00:08:04.930 For example, the solution of the center city. 136 00:08:05.680 --> 00:08:08.100 The original goal was not achieved. 137 00:08:09.190 --> 00:08:10.090 Unrealized 138 00:08:10.560 --> 00:08:14.670 We also want to talk about this point. 139 00:08:14.670 --> 00:08:17.480 It is worth explaining. 140 00:08:17.940 --> 00:08:20.520 That is why there is urban planning. 141 00:08:22.280 --> 00:08:26.200 What is the relationship between urban planning and the law of the market? 142 00:08:27.660 --> 00:08:28.860 Let me give you an example. 143 00:08:28.860 --> 00:08:32.710 For example, we said that in the past, we said that the development of new towns. 144 00:08:33.790 --> 00:08:34.820 Develop new town 145 00:08:34.820 --> 00:08:36.660 According to the law of market economy 146 00:08:36.930 --> 00:08:39.180 In fact, these new cities are very difficult to develop. 147 00:08:40.140 --> 00:08:44.880 In fact, the experience of these megacities in many countries shows that. 148 00:08:45.620 --> 00:08:50.120 You let your city in particular, this kind of big city naturally spontaneous to the development of words. 149 00:08:50.120 --> 00:08:51.660 It can't form. 150 00:08:51.660 --> 00:08:53.760 It will only be a few sentences around 151 00:08:53.940 --> 00:08:55.790 Because this area has the highest cost 152 00:08:55.970 --> 00:08:57.220 And the lowest cost 153 00:08:57.480 --> 00:08:59.300 Development cost minimum employment opportunities 154 00:08:59.750 --> 00:09:01.120 Including supporting public services 155 00:09:01.260 --> 00:09:04.100 It can rely directly on the central city. 156 00:09:04.250 --> 00:09:08.810 The new town is going to jump out. 157 00:09:09.470 --> 00:09:13.360 So we say that the earliest planning came into being. 158 00:09:13.650 --> 00:09:14.870 The emergence of urban planning 159 00:09:15.170 --> 00:09:22.480 It's actually in a sense, it's called the basic starting point. 160 00:09:22.480 --> 00:09:27.870 He is going to change something that the market cannot achieve. 161 00:09:28.090 --> 00:09:31.530 What is more direct is to solve the problem of market failure. 162 00:09:32.550 --> 00:09:33.590 Failure problem 163 00:09:34.090 --> 00:09:37.480 For example, we say that now everyone agrees on the planning. 164 00:09:37.480 --> 00:09:42.630 The origin of modern urban planning is the public health law enacted in Britain. 165 00:09:42.970 --> 00:09:46.110 Because your city is developing when there is an environmental problem. 166 00:09:46.110 --> 00:09:47.630 The market can't be solved. 167 00:09:47.850 --> 00:09:50.590 Therefore, we must rely on the supply of public products. 168 00:09:50.590 --> 00:09:52.100 Public services to change 169 00:09:52.340 --> 00:09:54.250 The same is true of the new field. 170 00:09:54.250 --> 00:09:58.750 It is based on a more ideal development model. 171 00:09:58.750 --> 00:10:00.880 It will change the spread of the city. 172 00:10:01.820 --> 00:10:02.820 Such a state of affairs 173 00:10:02.820 --> 00:10:04.630 Excessive concentration of central city 174 00:10:04.630 --> 00:10:07.850 Then I hope he will go to develop the new town. 175 00:10:08.930 --> 00:10:10.590 So we're going to go in the opposite direction 176 00:10:10.590 --> 00:10:15.320 This is not to say that planning sets such a goal. 177 00:10:15.550 --> 00:10:16.460 Right or wrong problem 178 00:10:16.460 --> 00:10:19.140 It means that after we set our goals 179 00:10:19.140 --> 00:10:21.150 In fact, it is necessary to study the law of the market. 180 00:10:22.390 --> 00:10:23.080 Market law 181 00:10:23.080 --> 00:10:26.020 You can use this law to promote the development of the new city. 182 00:10:26.700 --> 00:10:32.350 Everyone knows why you have a high quality of a basic education. 183 00:10:32.520 --> 00:10:34.670 For example, a very good high school. 184 00:10:35.190 --> 00:10:36.650 He was willing to go. 185 00:10:36.650 --> 00:10:36.890 Right 186 00:10:36.890 --> 00:10:38.260 Real estate will be very expensive. 187 00:10:38.260 --> 00:10:40.610 This is because you have a high quality of public service here. 188 00:10:40.980 --> 00:10:43.400 So it's going to draw people in 189 00:10:44.170 --> 00:10:49.070 Well, if there are some such thoughts, 190 00:10:49.070 --> 00:10:51.230 So Shanghai is actually speaking at the moment 191 00:10:51.770 --> 00:10:53.580 Public service 192 00:10:53.760 --> 00:10:56.550 In fact, high-quality areas or concentrated in the central urban areas. 193 00:10:56.550 --> 00:10:59.770 For example, Shanghai's top three hospitals are almost all in the center of the city. 194 00:10:59.970 --> 00:11:00.880 There's nothing out there 195 00:11:02.140 --> 00:11:05.340 Then also include the best schools in Shanghai. 196 00:11:05.550 --> 00:11:06.490 In the center of the city 197 00:11:08.210 --> 00:11:13.850 So this round of Shanghai planning may be more than just a goal of the problem. 198 00:11:14.260 --> 00:11:17.000 Not only that Shanghai's future development should be what? 199 00:11:17.140 --> 00:11:20.410 Maybe more research on the law of the market. 200 00:11:20.410 --> 00:11:25.730 Then what kind of good use of the law of the market to formulate the corresponding guiding policies. 201 00:11:26.100 --> 00:11:27.260 Or strategy 202 00:11:29.070 --> 00:11:34.010 In addition, there is one in our Shanghai version of the planning inside. 203 00:11:34.530 --> 00:11:36.930 These areas are drawn here 204 00:11:37.210 --> 00:11:40.910 In fact, all are ecological areas. 205 00:11:42.140 --> 00:11:44.450 The red color is the land for construction. 206 00:11:44.660 --> 00:11:49.390 Therefore, it is also very different from the original plan. 207 00:11:50.260 --> 00:11:53.330 Let's stop here and have a rest. 208 00:12:06.280 --> 00:12:07.940 So we talked about it just now 209 00:12:07.940 --> 00:12:10.760 That is why these ecological areas cannot be controlled. 210 00:12:10.760 --> 00:12:13.170 In fact, it has something to do with our current development model. 211 00:12:13.280 --> 00:12:14.470 There is no differentiation 212 00:12:15.340 --> 00:12:17.450 You need ecological protection here. 213 00:12:17.450 --> 00:12:20.860 But you did not give him the corresponding compensation. 214 00:12:21.620 --> 00:12:23.630 So the right to development is the same. 215 00:12:23.710 --> 00:12:25.350 So even if you make a plan 216 00:12:25.350 --> 00:12:28.080 In fact, there is no way to operate it. 217 00:12:28.210 --> 00:12:35.720 Therefore, this must be the planning must be to study the spatial differentiation of a policy direction. 218 00:12:36.940 --> 00:12:38.950 So from the next development 219 00:12:39.060 --> 00:12:41.320 There are probably four areas that deserve attention. 220 00:12:41.480 --> 00:12:46.520 One is that Shanghai's global urban strategy is in fact with the national strategy. 221 00:12:47.300 --> 00:12:52.950 At the same time, we should see that this is a new round of Shanghai, is a technological innovation. 222 00:12:52.950 --> 00:12:56.830 The cycle is going to be very deep 223 00:12:57.480 --> 00:13:00.120 And there is a lot of uncertainty. 224 00:13:00.120 --> 00:13:02.320 Another is the environment of concern. 225 00:13:02.930 --> 00:13:04.230 Resource problem 226 00:13:04.560 --> 00:13:07.170 There is also a social transformation facing Shanghai. 227 00:13:07.610 --> 00:13:10.530 For example, the problem of aging and so on.